Permanent call record
Google DeepMind announces a Flash-tier Gemini model numbered above 3.8 by October 15, 2026.
This is the frozen public history of one Augur call. Later grades, confirmations, overturns, and corrections are appended below; the original call is never silently rewritten.
Status: Open
Published:
Due:
Stated probability: 55%
Frozen resolution criteria: A DeepMind blog post or Gemini API model page announcing Gemini 3.9 Flash or higher proves a hit; none is a miss.
Append-only resolution history
Entries appear in recorded order. A correction remains beside the superseded evidence it replaces: the superseded record stays visible but loses its link, and the correction is the sole citation authority for that pair.
No resolution event has been recorded yet.
Confirmation record
No operator confirmation has been recorded.
Timestamp proof
ec17f4d5f4ba2920e569b5854fc9baca91f7787df1b2c1fc8d3e1fe2dcdb02a5Stamped Proof upgraded Download proof (.ots) Keep exploring
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